Saturday, April 11, 2009

Playoffs

Here's my formula. The team that has the best goalie wins. If the goalies are close, the team with the better defense wins. Some X-factors are playoff experience (choking, winning, or none), and possibly looking at how they did in the last few games. Mostly, I just go by goalie. And by "who's better" I mean who's the better goalie or d-man in the playoffs. I don't give a whore's fuck about how they play in October.

(1) Boston v. (8) Montreal.
I'll believe Boston when I see them with the Cup. I don't know that Montreal is the team to pull off the upset. My lack of paying much attention this year has limited by ability to handicap this one. I don't really like either goalie. Boston in 7.

(2) Washington v. (7) Rangers
Lundquist is better than Theodore, and the Rangers have seen some postseason lately. Rangers in 7.

(3) New Jersey v. (6) Carolina
Martin Brodeur. NJ in 6.

(4) Pittsburgh v. (5) Philadelphia.
No idea, but I'm gonna say Philly in 7 so I don't catch shit from my Flyers' fan friends if I'm wrong.

(1) San Jose vs. (8) Anaheim
The Sharks are one of those teams, like the Blues used to be, that's reliable for a playoff slot, and not much more. We're supposed to believe it's different because they got the President's Trophy? Ask how much good that's done other teams trying to get the real trophy.
Anaheim in 7.

(2) Detroit vs. (7) Columbus.
Green playoff team versus the champs? Detroit in 4.

(3) Vancouver vs. (6) St. Louis
Luongo. Vancouver in 6.

(4) Chicago vs. (5) Calgary.
Chicago's green as their river on St. Patty's Day and these Flames have been a semi-contender for a while. Kiprusoff is better now especially, and he was better in 2004, but Khabi had more scoring in front of him. Red necks over Fat Necks in 6.

Does this mean I was wrong to say they should have sold at the deadline? No. Why? Because they aren't going to win the Cup. They're going to win a round, maybe.

Update: I corrected the #4 & 5 seeds out East and the 3/6 matchup out west. Same predictions I would have had.

Update 2: So, I guess I'll just go for the full prediction monkey bullshit:

I'll say New Jersey, Boston, Detroit and Vancouver as the final 4, with the Devils and Detroit doing 1995 over, with the same result in more games.

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